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How will your club fare? Phil McNulty's Premier League predictions
Chief football writerPublished20 minutes ago41 CommentsTime to dust off the crystal ball once more and have a crack at predicting where the 20 Premier League teams will finish this season.Having confidently announced the Premier League title was Liverpool's to lose last season, they then lost it quite spectacularly, resulting in manager Arne Slot's dismissal.This season there are nine new managers in the top flight, making this season arguably the toughest set of predictions I've made.Breakouts & wildcards - 13 surprise stars for new seasonHaving finally crossed the line to their first Premier League title in 22 years, Arsenal are in perfect shape to retain the crown - and I believe they will.Mikel Arteta's side have quality everywhere and will have the confidence of being champions. Bruno Guimaraes and Christos Tzolis showed they are additions of the highest quality as Arsenal dismantled Manchester City in the Community Shield.It is the start of a new era, with Enzo Maresca following arguably the greatest manager of the modern era, Pep Guardiola.Huge players and personalities have gone in the shape of Rodri, Bernardo Silva and John Stones, so there is a real sense of transition at Etihad Stadium.The Community Shield loss to Arsenal may have spooked some, but great players still remain - with the probability of more high-class signings before the season starts. £116m Elliot Anderson has already arrived and Morocco's brilliant teenage midfielder Ayyoub Bouaddi is expected to join from Lille.Most significantly of all, any side with the phenomenal Erling Haaland as its striker can never be ruled out of anything. There will be silverware.Andoni Iraola has arrived from Bournemouth to restore some order after a dismal title defence last season.The start of the post-Mohamed Salah era will not be easy and Iraola's all-out, intense style may take time to bed in, but there is still lots of quality in Liverpool's squad and players such as Florian Wirtz and Alexander Isak now know what life at Anfield is all about.If Bradley Barcola arrives from Paris St-Germain and Rio Ngumoha's rapid progress continues, Liverpool can have a good season.Young central defenders Jeremy Jacquet and Giovanni Leoni are also potential stars. Spain winger Victor Munoz will provide thrust and pace.Definitely a top-four place and in contention for trophies.I can see the raised eyebrows from here, but Xabi Alonso is smart - and enjoyed Bundesliga title success at Bayer Leverkusen. He is not alone in having then been chewed up and spat out at Real Madrid.He must shape a squad that resembles a small commune and deal with a disaffected Enzo Fernandez - if indeed he remains at Chelsea - but there is real quality if he can fashion it into shape.Morgan Rogers and Maxence Lacroix are outstanding additions while the surprise signings of veterans Jordan Henderson and Danny Welbeck are clearly designed to police the dressing room and set the tone.It's a bit of a punt but, without any distractions in Europe, Chelsea could do very well in the Premier League.This is the first full season under Michael Carrick, who did so well to guide Manchester United back into the Champions League last season following the sacking of Ruben Amorim.A Champions League place and a trophy must be the aim for this season and I fully expect United to meet that challenge.Youri Tielemans is a smart, streetwise signing from Aston Villa while Andrey Santos is a player of promise from Chelsea - but United and Carrick still need more if their ultimate ambitions are to be fulfilled.There is no chance of a title challenge, but I expect United to be in the upper reaches of the Premier League.Unai Emery's outstanding work at Aston Villa continued when they won the Europa League and he took them back into the Champions League.This brilliant strategist can never be under-estimated, but Villa's financial balancing act has led to the departures of key players Tielemans and Rogers.Heavy responsibility will lie with loan signing Alejandro Garnacho, whose career has stagnated, while hopes are high for Brazil midfielder Joao Gomes, who was signed from Wolves for £38m.Villa pulled off a real coup when they pipped Newcastle to Freiburg's 20-year-old midfielder Johan Manzambi, who was a stand-out performer for Switzerland at the World Cup.Villa look set to bring in Japan goalkeeper Zion Suzuki from Parma as a long-term first-choice, with Emiliano Martinez's future in doubt.So, it is a time of churn at Villa Park, but there is no reason to believe Emery cannot work more of his magic - while teenage striker Brian Madjo could be a breakout star.New-ish manager. New ambition. The purse strings have been loosened at Spurs this summer, so there are no excuses for a repeat of last season's shambles, when Roberto de Zerbi - their third manager of the season after Thomas Frank and, briefly, Igor Tudor - kept them up on the final day.De Zerbi's fierce ambition has been backed big time, so optimism is running high.Andrew Robertson is a smart signing on and off the pitch, while Marcos Senesi is another good deal on a free transfer from Bournemouth.The big money has been spent in midfield, with Sandro Tonali in for £100m from Newcastle United and Mateus Fernandes from West Ham United for £85m.Jan Paul van Hecke cost £52m from Brighton to offset the loss of captain Cristian Romero - will he really be missed? - from central defence. Djed Spence has also left for Inter Milan.Micky van de Ven has committed his future, so it all looks good for Spurs.Breakouts & wildcards - 13 surprise stars for new seasonHow did a squad with Nottingham Forest's obvious quality end up fighting relegation last season?After Nuno Espirito Santo, Ange Postecoglou, Sean Dyche and Vitor Pereira comes the ambitious appointment of Oliver Glasner.Glasner is demanding and will have an even more demanding owner in Evangelos Marinakis, but Forest will surely use the £116m from the sale of Anderson to back their new manager.Expect plenty of activity before the deadline, with Ivory Coast defender Ousmane Diomande already in for £34m from Sporting.Morgan Gibbs-White has stayed and will be a key figure again.The Glasner era - like all other managerial eras at Forest - will not be dull.There is European football back at Brighton this season in the Conference League, and that will put added workload on Fabian Hurzeler's squad - but it will be relished at this well-run club.Welbeck's goals and experience will be a loss, along with the retired James Milner and Tottenham recruit Van Hecke, but Brighton feel they have pulled off a special deal by signing young defender Luka Vuskovic from Spurs for £46m.Pascal Struijk's arrival from Leeds adds defensive experience, and with plenty of quality elsewhere, Amex Stadium will again be an entertaining place to be this season.Keith Andrews did a superb job in succession to Frank last season, with Brentford only just missing out on a place in Europe.Bees fans will expect more of the same this season and an indication of their continued ambition was demonstrated with the club-record signing of Mali midfielder Mamadou Sangare from Lens.Callum Wilson, if fit, will provide proven Premier League experience up front, while Jaidon Anthony has shown what he can do at Burnley.Igor Thiago is an outstanding spearhead, so it is easy to see why Andrews expects improvement this season.Lacroix is a big loss in central defence, while the manager who inspired their FA Cup and Conference League wins, Glasner, has also gone.In his place comes the highly regarded Pierre Sage, whose performance at Lens - where he became Ligue 1's manager of the year - was good enough to attract attention from Liverpool.Palace may be without Lacroix, but this is still a squad with class in all areas, from goalkeeper Dean Henderson through to Adam Wharton in midfield and Jean-Philippe Mateta and Ismaila Sarr in attack.If they can fight off any late advances for their top players, a good season lies in store - and, perhaps, another cup challenge.There has been trauma on Tyneside this summer. Some of their best players - sold. The manager who brought the first domestic trophy for 70 years - gone.So, a challenging job awaits for new man Matthias Jaissle.The momentum has gone out of the Saudi Arabian project with the departures of Eddie Howe, Anthony Gordon, Sandro Tonali and Bruno Guimaraes from St James' Park. Uncertainty and instability reign.Newcastle failed to land many of their top transfer targets, although Lukas Hornicek has arrived from Braga to address the goalkeeping problem, while midfielder Aladji Bamba is rich in promise after arriving from Monaco.The same applies to Dutch midfielder Sean Steur, the 18-year-old signed from Ajax, and 20-year-old Bazoumana Toure, the Ivory Coast winger who has joined from Bundesliga side Hoffenheim.Defender Amar Dedic has arrived from Benfica, having worked with Jaissle when winning the Austrian title with Red Bull Salzburg in 2023.An experienced midfielder is key, with Tonali and Guimaraes gone, and Joao Palhinha has been mentioned after a deal for Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg failed to materialise.Jaissle needs a good start - and more players - to settle the Toon Army's nerves.David Moyes has been silent for most of pre-season - but when he did speak he was hardly talking up Everton's chances when he said "we're far off from where we want to be" and that he would like to do "a lot more business".Everton have actually done a couple of pieces of smart business in signing last season's Championship player of the year Hayden Hackney from Middlesbrough and experienced Denmark midfielder Christian Norgaard from Arsenal.And they still have the rare talent of Iliman Ndiaye, while Tyler Dibling has had a good pre-season after struggling following his £40m move from Southampton last summer.However, doubts remain over the right-back position and also whether Beto and Thierno Barry are good enough to be Premier League spearheads.The early weeks of the season are crucial for Moyes and Everton to appease discontent supporters who felt last season's late collapse wasted an opportunity for European football.Haaland's main rivals for the Premier League Golden BootHow will Bournemouth cope without Iraola? How will his successor Marco Rose settle? And how will they handle the extra burden of Europa League football?These are the reasons I am predicting a Premier League drop-off for the Cherries - but would not be surprised to see this one defied.The foot injury that rules Eli Junior Kroupi out for up to four months is a real blow, but there is plenty of talent elsewhere as Bournemouth stand firm against any advances for the outstanding Alex Scott.New faces follow a familiar pattern with 22-year-old Portugal defender Antonio Silva arriving from Benfica, along with young forward Alvaro Rodriguez from Elche.Juanlu Sanchez, a £11m signing from Sevilla, has Champions League experience and could prove yet another clever Cherries purchase.Leeds United manager Daniel Farke wanted a show of ambition from the club. He has got it - so now it is up to him.James Trafford will hope to press his claims to succeed Jordan Pickford as England's next goalkeeper after a club-record £45m move from Manchester City, while the capture of Harry Wilson from Fulham was a real coup.Tarik Muharemovic, the 23-year-old Bosnia-Herzegovina centre-back signed from Serie A side Sassuolo for £34m, will add defensive solidity.As last season, I expect the hothouse Elland Road atmosphere to be a crucial factor.Fulham are another club under new management after the departure of Marco Silva to Benfica, with Alvaro Arbeloa now in charge after a spell at Real Madrid.The appointment, as with so many, is a gamble - but Fulham have established themselves in the Premier League, so will want another season of stability.Shea Charles showed real touches of class with Southampton so plenty will be expected of him, while Arbeloa has gone with what he knows by signing Gonzalo Garcia and Cesar Palacios from Real Madrid.What Sunderland and Regis le Bris achieved last season was close to miraculous, as they went from pretty much unanimous relegation tips to Europa League qualification.I'm not so sure, although keeping Granit Xhaka from the clutches of Chelsea was huge, in what has been a quiet summer so far in terms of incoming transfers.Brian Brobbey showed what a threat he is with the Netherlands at the World Cup but this campaign may just be a reality check for the Black Cats after the dreamland of last term.It's going to be very tough for the three promoted teams this season, but Coventry City's renaissance under the vibrant leadership of Doug King is a real feel-good story - mirroring Frank Lampard's own renaissance as a manager.The Sky Blues have shown real ambition in the summer and will, along with other newcomers Ipswich Town and Hull City, relish making a nonsense of naysayer predictions such as this one.Taiwo Awoniyi will provide a spearhead, while Gus Hamer has returned from Sheffield United and goalkeeper Carl Rushworth has signed permanently following his successful loan from Brighton last season.Winger Loum Tchaouna has joined from Burnley, defender Aurele Amenda arrived from Eintracht Frankfurt and Ghana midfielder Caleb Yirenkyi signed from Nordsjaelland.No-one can say King and Coventry are not having a go.Kieran McKenna's decision to step down as manager was a shock after taking back into the top flight, so now it is up to Gary O'Neil to pick up the reins.The Tractor Boys went down with a whimper last time they were in the Premier League, so they will be hoping it is different this time - and they have also shown ambition in the transfer market.Since securing promotion, Ipswich have spent £150m with the acquisitions of Abdoul Ouattara and Julio Enciso, who worked with O'Neil at Strasbourg, taking them up to 12 major signings.Daizen Maeda will be hoping to transfer the form which helped Celtic win the Scottish title last season to the Premier League, while the exciting Abdul Fatawu from Leicester City will also hope to make an impact.If Ipswich Town do not survive, it will not be through lack of trying or lack of ambition.The Tigers are back in the top tier after nine years away and have embarked on some hefty squad renewal to help manager Sergej Jakirovic.Will it be enough? It will certainly defy the odds and expectations, but I feel it might be just a very entertaining ride as Hull City try.They have completed 11 new signings so far and have broken their own transfer record twice in the process by bringing in Greece goalkeeper Konstantinos Tzolakis from Olympiacos and Senegal defender Nobel Mendy from Rayo Vallecano.Once again, no-one can accuse Hull City of accepting what many regard as inevitable.
BBC SportWed, 19 Aug 2026
Source: BBC Sport
